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EV commodity prices on Oct 13, 2026
kalshi

What will EV commodity prices be?

Volume:
$26,376

Above 1128.88

 - Kalshi

Above 1128.88 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1128.88

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,061
N/A
N/A
$2,391
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1138.88

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,992
N/A
N/A
$2,991
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1148.88

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,592
N/A
N/A
$1,992
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1188.88

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,425
N/A
N/A
$2,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1158.88

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,227
N/A
N/A
$1,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1168.88

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,392
N/A
N/A
$1,392
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1178.88

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1258.88

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,799
N/A
N/A
$2,199
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1268.88

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,799
N/A
N/A
$2,199
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1198.88

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,988
N/A
N/A
$1,975
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1218.88

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,226
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1228.88

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$1,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1248.88

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1238.88

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1208.88

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$372
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks fluctuations in the cost of materials essential for electric vehicle production, reflecting broader economic trends and supply-demand dynamics within the automotive industry. The resolution depends on the performance of a specific index measuring these commodity prices at a set future date.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value as of October 13, 2026, against fifteen sequentially increasing threshold levels ranging from 1128.88 to 1268.88. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the index exceeds that specific level. The structure creates a tiered evaluation where higher thresholds represent more stringent conditions for resolution. All markets share the same observation date and data source, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The event effectively maps a spectrum of possible index values into binary resolutions, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of varying degrees of price increases.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the EV commodity prices market tracks the current prices, 24-hour volume of $13,003, and total volume of $26,376. You can also view a price history chart to see how the market has traded over time. This allows participants to understand market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe EV commodity prices will land on October 13, 2026, and how that belief is evolving.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi. These odds can be compared to analyst forecasts regarding future EV commodity prices, but often diverge. While analysts may rely on models and reports, this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time reactions to news and events. If analysts generally predict a price increase, we might see higher prices traded in this market, but the degree of alignment or disagreement can vary significantly. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when forming your own opinion.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. Essentially, the price reflects the probability that EV commodity prices will be above a certain level on October 13, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more confident traders are that prices will be high. Conversely, a price closer to 0 indicates expectations of lower prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient price discovery.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on established commodity price indices for the key materials used in electric vehicle production, as defined by the market contract. The exact indices used will be publicly available on Kalshi. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final verified prices. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding battery technology advancements, changes in government regulations related to EV adoption, or shifts in the supply chains for critical minerals like lithium and cobalt would all be impactful. Geopolitical events affecting commodity production and transportation, or unexpected changes in global economic conditions, could also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, news regarding the production and sales figures of major EV manufacturers will be closely watched by traders in this market.