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$134b

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$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

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2,633

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5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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EV commodity prices on Jul 31, 2026
kalshi

What will EV commodity prices be on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$52,752

Above 1138.74

 - Kalshi

Above 1138.74 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1138.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,541
N/A
N/A
$6,531
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1178.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,019
N/A
N/A
$3,607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1168.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,943
N/A
N/A
$3,283
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1148.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,652
N/A
N/A
$3,652
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1158.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,376
N/A
N/A
$3,376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1188.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,502
N/A
N/A
$2,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1208.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,128
N/A
N/A
$2,032
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1198.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,677
N/A
N/A
$1,676
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1218.74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,097
N/A
N/A
$504
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1238.74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,908
N/A
N/A
$13,507
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1278.74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,045
N/A
N/A
$3,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1268.74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,552
N/A
N/A
$2,411
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1258.74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,495
N/A
N/A
$1,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1228.74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,448
N/A
N/A
$897
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1248.74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
$320
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets track potential future movements in the cost of materials essential for electric vehicle production, using a specific index value as of a set date. Each market assesses whether this index will surpass a particular threshold, reflecting expectations about supply, demand, and economic conditions affecting these commodities.

Kalshi

The markets collectively evaluate whether the Truflation EV Commodity Index will exceed various threshold values as of July 31, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct level above the baseline index value, creating a range of possible outcomes. Resolution for each market depends solely on the index's final value on the specified date—if it is above the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure allows participants to bet on different levels of price increases, providing granular insight into market expectations for commodity price movements in the EV sector over the specified timeframe.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the final Truflation EV Commodity Index value for July 31, 2026 will be compared against the specified threshold, and the market will settle based on whether the price is above or below that level.

Key signals include shifts in lithium, cobalt, or nickel supply forecasts, changes to EV manufacturing output, government subsidy announcements, and broader commodity price volatility. Natural disasters affecting mining regions, trade policy updates, or unexpected demand spikes from new EV models could also sway trader sentiment. All of these factors may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as the market approaches Aug 8, 2026.