TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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EV commodity prices on Jul 28, 2026
kalshi

EV commodity prices on Jul 28, 2026

Volume:
$53,798

Above 1178.87

 - Kalshi

Above 1178.87 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 11:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1178.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,749
N/A
N/A
$6,078
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1138.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,232
N/A
N/A
$3,430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1148.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,912
N/A
N/A
$3,912
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1158.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,488
N/A
N/A
$3,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1188.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,478
N/A
N/A
$3,222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1198.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1168.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1278.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,453
N/A
N/A
$5,452
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1208.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,986
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1258.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,327
N/A
N/A
$4,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1268.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,468
N/A
N/A
$3,468
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1248.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,880
N/A
N/A
$1,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1238.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,785
N/A
N/A
$1,421
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1228.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,745
N/A
N/A
$1,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1218.87

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,250
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials critical for electric vehicles, reflecting supply and demand dynamics in the automotive industry. On July 28, 2026, various thresholds of this index will determine different market outcomes. The index value will indicate whether commodity prices are experiencing upward pressure or stability over that period.

Kalshi

Multiple threshold markets determine resolution based on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value on July 28, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold above which the index must close to resolve to Yes. If the index closes at or below the threshold, the market resolves to No. All markets share the same date and index source, but differ only in their threshold values ranging from 1138.87 to 1278.87 in increments of 10. No alternative outcomes or special conditions apply—the resolution depends solely on whether the final index value meets or exceeds each respective threshold.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, incorporating both public sentiment and trader positioning. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on models, the market price captures an aggregated bet on where commodity prices will land, sometimes showing noticeable differences from consensus estimates.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual commodity price levels as recorded by independent, widely accepted sources, closing all open positions based on the confirmed data.

Key signals include major shifts in supply chains, significant changes in global demand, policy announcements affecting commodity production or trade, and unexpected natural events impacting resources. Economic reports, geopolitical developments, and technological breakthroughs in EV battery materials can also cause rapid movements in this market as traders adjust their expectations.