TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
EV commodity prices on Jul 27, 2026
kalshi

What will the EV Commodity Index close at on July 27, 2026?

Volume:
$50,919

Above 1136.36

 - Kalshi

Above 1136.36 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1136.36

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,145
N/A
N/A
$9,341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1146.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,636
N/A
N/A
$2,102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1186.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,530
N/A
N/A
$4,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1206.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,963
N/A
N/A
$1,564
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1176.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,278
N/A
N/A
$1,701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1166.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,492
N/A
N/A
$818
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1156.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
$562
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1196.36

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1276.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,522
N/A
N/A
$3,720
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1266.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,329
N/A
N/A
$2,506
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1226.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,692
N/A
N/A
$2,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1246.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,432
N/A
N/A
$2,148
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1236.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,311
N/A
N/A
$2,133
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1216.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
$695
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1256.36

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
$742
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of key materials used in electric vehicles. On July 27, 2026, various thresholds above 1136.36 will determine different market outcomes based on where the index closes that day.

Kalshi

Multiple threshold markets will resolve based on the closing value of the Truflation EV Commodity Index on July 27, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 1136.36 to 1276.36). If the index closes above a market's threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same date and index source, but each evaluates a distinct price level.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume for the EV commodity price market. It visualizes how traders on the platform are positioning themselves ahead of the Aug 4, 2026 settlement date. The display includes current top-outcome probabilities and volume of $50,919 to help users gauge market sentiment and activity levels for this specific event.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes for EV commodity prices. The current pricing reflects the collective assessment of market participants about future supply-demand balances, geopolitical impacts, and innovation timelines. Volume of $45,683 over the last 24 hours shows how engaged traders are in shaping these odds.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the final result applied automatically based on publicly available data sources, closing all positions and settling contracts accordingly.

Several developments could shift this market before Aug 4, 2026. Changes in global mining output, new recycling technologies, government subsidies or tariffs, and broader economic shifts may all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical tensions or breakthroughs in battery chemistry are also key catalysts that could rapidly reshape expectations and drive volatility in the coming months.