TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of key materials used in electric vehicles. On July 27, 2026, various thresholds above 1136.36 will determine different market outcomes based on where the index closes that day.
Multiple threshold markets will resolve based on the closing value of the Truflation EV Commodity Index on July 27, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 1136.36 to 1276.36). If the index closes above a market's threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same date and index source, but each evaluates a distinct price level.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes for EV commodity prices. The current pricing reflects the collective assessment of market participants about future supply-demand balances, geopolitical impacts, and innovation timelines. Volume of $45,683 over the last 24 hours shows how engaged traders are in shaping these odds.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the final result applied automatically based on publicly available data sources, closing all positions and settling contracts accordingly.
Several developments could shift this market before Aug 4, 2026. Changes in global mining output, new recycling technologies, government subsidies or tariffs, and broader economic shifts may all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical tensions or breakthroughs in battery chemistry are also key catalysts that could rapidly reshape expectations and drive volatility in the coming months.