TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
EV commodity prices on Aug 7, 2026
kalshi

EV commodity prices on Aug 7, 2026

Volume:
$21

Above 1189.49

 - Kalshi

Above 1189.49 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1189.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1249.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1239.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1199.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1209.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1219.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1229.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1259.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1269.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1279.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1289.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1299.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1309.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1319.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1329.49

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials critical for electric vehicle production. Tracking this index over time helps gauge inflation pressures in the EV supply chain. A specific value threshold on a set date can indicate whether material costs are rising or falling.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the Truflation EV Commodity Index value on August 7, 2026 exceeds specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution is binary: if the published index value is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The index is a publicly available economic indicator, and markets close on the business day following the date in question.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $21 for the EV commodity price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the August 2026 settlement date, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event.

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ from many analyst forecasts. While some analysts predict stability or modest shifts in EV commodity prices, the odds here suggest a higher probability of notable movement by Aug 15, 2026. This divergence can highlight underappreciated risks or opportunities that traditional forecasts may overlook.

On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the EV commodity price market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects collective trader sentiment about future commodity trends. Volume of $21 over the last 24 hours shows trader interest, while total volume of $21 indicates overall market engagement. Price fluctuations respond to real-time trading activity and shifts in market expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual status of EV commodity prices as measured by authoritative, widely accepted sources, closing the market for all participants.

Several signals could influence this market before Aug 15, 2026. Major economic announcements, shifts in EV manufacturing trends, and global supply chain developments may affect commodity forecasts. Natural disasters or policy changes impacting production could also shift expectations. Traders will watch industry reports, geopolitical developments, and energy market volatility for clues about where prices might head next.