TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Economics
EV commodity prices on Aug 5, 2026
kalshi

EV commodity prices on Aug 5, 2026

Volume:
$35,090

Above 1186.05

 - Kalshi

Above 1186.05 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1186.05

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,701
N/A
N/A
$6,701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1176.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,201
N/A
N/A
$6,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1166.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,301
N/A
N/A
$5,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1156.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,801
N/A
N/A
$2,801
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1256.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1236.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,820
N/A
N/A
$1,213
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1246.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,613
N/A
N/A
$997
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1226.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,435
N/A
N/A
$1,434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1206.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1196.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
$551
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1216.05

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1276.05

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,653
N/A
N/A
$2,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1286.05

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1296.05

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1266.05

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specialized index tracking electric vehicle (EV) commodity prices as measured on a specific future date. It reflects expectations about supply, demand, and economic factors influencing EV material costs. Outcomes depend entirely on whether the index surpasses various predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for the Truflation EV Commodity Index as of August 5, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the index exceeds its respective numerical threshold—ranging incrementally from 1156.05 to 1296.05. No additional secondary conditions apply; resolution depends solely on the index's value relative to these fixed benchmarks on the specified date.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $9,961 for the EV commodity price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for EV commodity prices as of August 5, 2026. The view is focused solely on Kalshi data, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and trading activity without combining information from any other venue.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a broader set of expectations, incorporating both public sentiment and trader positioning. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on models and historical trends, this market allows participants to bet directly on their views of EV commodity prices. The resulting odds can diverge from or align with those forecasts, depending on recent news, supply chain updates, or shifts in consumer demand influencing trader behavior on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual EV commodity prices as of August 5, 2026, based on widely accepted data sources. Traders will see their positions close automatically once the result is officially recorded and made public, closing the market for future speculation.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Key influences include major announcements about EV battery material supplies, government policy changes affecting commodity incentives, or unexpected disruptions in global mining output. Additionally, broader economic shifts such as inflation rates or energy price swings may affect trader sentiment. As Aug 13, 2026 approaches, any credible news that updates expectations for EV commodity availability or cost will likely cause rapid movements in odds and trading volume on Kalshi.