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EV commodity prices on Aug 4, 2026
kalshi

What will the EV Commodity Index close at on August 4, 2026?

Volume:
$27,053

Above 1211.89

 - Kalshi

Above 1211.89 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1211.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,482
N/A
N/A
$2,749
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1221.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,476
N/A
N/A
$1,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1181.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,620
N/A
N/A
$1,920
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1201.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,564
N/A
N/A
$1,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1171.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,326
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1161.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,301
N/A
N/A
$1,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1191.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,233
N/A
N/A
$924
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1231.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1241.89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1281.89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,698
N/A
N/A
$2,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1291.89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,361
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1301.89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,261
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1271.89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,643
N/A
N/A
$1,455
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1251.89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
$699
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1261.89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
$640
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials critical for electric vehicle production. On August 4, 2026, various thresholds above 1161.89 will determine different market resolutions based on where the index closes that day.

Kalshi

Multiple threshold markets will resolve based on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value on August 4, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the index closes above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. All markets share the same measurement date and source, with no additional conditions beyond the index value comparison.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the current odds and price trends for the EV commodity price market, along with 24-hour volume of $14,601. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the August 2026 settlement date. The interface displays the top outcome’s probability and recent trading activity, giving users a live snapshot of market sentiment and dynamics for this specific economics event.

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual commodity price levels as recorded by authoritative sources at the specified time, removing speculation and aligning the market result with observable economic data.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key commodity inventory reports, geopolitical developments affecting supply chains, major EV production announcements, and shifts in energy policy or subsidies. Natural disasters, technological breakthroughs in battery materials, or sudden changes in global demand — such as new trade agreements — may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders reassess risk and price probabilities.