TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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EV commodity prices on Aug 3, 2026
kalshi

EV commodity prices on Aug 3, 2026

Volume:
$30,613

Above 1154.55

 - Kalshi

Above 1154.55 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1154.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,227
N/A
N/A
$3,225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1214.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,006
N/A
N/A
$1,810
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1224.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,950
N/A
N/A
$2,206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1164.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,931
N/A
N/A
$2,927
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1184.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1174.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1204.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
$495
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1194.55

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1234.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,287
N/A
N/A
$1,985
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1244.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,120
N/A
N/A
$2,915
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1254.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,453
N/A
N/A
$2,251
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1284.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,154
N/A
N/A
$1,154
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1294.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1274.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$974
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1264.55

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
$875
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials crucial for electric vehicle manufacturing, reflecting supply-demand dynamics and economic factors affecting production costs.

Kalshi

Multiple threshold markets exist for the Truflation EV Commodity Index value on August 3, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the index closes above its specific threshold, ranging from 1154.55 to 1294.55. All markets share the same underlying data point and date, with resolution contingent solely on the index's final value against these sequential thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for EV commodity prices. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and macro models, traders react quickly to news, inventory reports, and policy updates, which can create divergence between the two.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual commodity price levels at the specified date, removing speculation and aligning the market result with real-world data.

Key signals that could shift this market include changes in global EV production rates, commodity inventory releases, trade policy announcements, and energy supply disruptions. Any unexpected geopolitical or economic shifts affecting mining output or manufacturing demand may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their positions ahead of Aug 11, 2026.