TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials critical for electric vehicles. On August 24, 2026, various thresholds from 1162.90 to 1302.90 will determine different market resolutions based on where the index closes that day.
Each market resolves to Yes if the Truflation EV Commodity Index closes above its specific threshold value on August 24, 2026. The thresholds range incrementally from 1162.90 to 1302.90. No additional conditions or tiebreakers are specified beyond the index's closing value meeting or exceeding the threshold for that market.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect actual commodity price data for the specified date, removing speculation and aligning the market result with real-world conditions.
Key signals include shifts in EV manufacturing output, changes to commodity supply chains, policy announcements affecting raw material demand, and broader economic trends impacting industrial consumption. Any surprise inventory reports, trade policy updates, or geopolitical developments influencing commodity flows could cause rapid moves in this market as traders adjust expectations ahead of Sep 1, 2026.