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EV commodity prices on Aug 21, 2026
kalshi

What will EV commodity prices be on Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$53,858

Above 1155.44

 - Kalshi

Above 1155.44 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1155.44

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,317
N/A
N/A
$13,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1165.44

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,146
N/A
N/A
$4,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1175.44

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,191
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1225.44

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$1,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1215.44

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,067
N/A
N/A
$988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1185.44

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
$1,018
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1205.44

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1195.44

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
$469
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1255.44

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,184
N/A
N/A
$3,751
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1275.44

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1245.44

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
$1,079
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1285.44

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,094
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1295.44

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1235.44

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1265.44

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks fluctuations in the cost of materials essential for electric vehicle production, reflecting broader economic trends and supply-demand dynamics within the EV industry. The outcome depends on whether a specific index value exceeds predetermined thresholds by a set date, illustrating how commodity prices can influence market expectations and investment decisions.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value as of August 21, 2026, against a series of ascending thresholds starting at 1155.44 and increasing in increments of 10.00 up to 1295.44. If the index is above any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each threshold represents a distinct level of price appreciation, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of varying degrees of commodity price increases. The resolution is binary for each threshold, with no partial or proportional outcomes considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their bids and asks. The displayed probability represents the collective wisdom of market participants, adjusting dynamically based on trading volume of $53,858 and new information affecting commodity supply or demand. This pricing mechanism lets investors hedge or speculate on future movements in the EV commodity price market, with prices fluctuating freely according to supply and demand on the platform.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch key commodity price indices and official economic releases to gauge where market fundamentals settle by the resolution date.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Changes in EV manufacturing output, commodity inventory reports, trade policy announcements, and breakthroughs in battery technology all carry the potential to sway trader sentiment. Natural disasters or geopolitical tensions affecting mining regions might also create volatility as the market approaches its resolution.