TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
EV commodity prices on Aug 19, 2026
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What will the EV Commodity Index be on Aug 19, 2026?

Volume:
$22,592

Above 1214.35

 - Kalshi

Above 1214.35 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 11:14 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1214.35

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,653
N/A
N/A
$4,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1194.35

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,519
N/A
N/A
$2,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1224.35

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,699
N/A
N/A
$1,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1164.35

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1174.35

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1184.35

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1204.35

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1254.35

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1244.35

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
$1,518
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1234.35

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,411
N/A
N/A
$1,411
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1264.35

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1274.35

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,013
N/A
N/A
$1,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1284.35

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1294.35

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1304.35

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of key materials used in electric vehicle production. Tracking this index helps gauge cost pressures in the EV supply chain, reflecting broader economic trends and industry health. Movements in the index can signal changes in raw material availability or shifts in global demand.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the Truflation EV Commodity Index value on August 19, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds, ranging from 1164.35 to 1304.35. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, with a "Yes" outcome if the index closes above that level on the specified date. No alternative resolutions, ties, or partial outcomes are defined; the index must meet or exceed the threshold exactly for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the EV commodity price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for EV commodity prices as of Aug 27, 2026. The display updates in real time to reflect market activity, giving you a clear view of investor sentiment and betting patterns right up to the resolution date.

Currently, this market’s implied probability reflects trader expectations for EV commodity price movements by August 2026. While analyst forecasts may vary, the prediction market aggregates real-time bets and can diverge from traditional equity or commodity research reports, often pricing in risks or scenarios that aren’t yet reflected in mainstream analysis.

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual state of EV commodity prices as of the specified date, removing any ambiguity for participants.

Several signals or events could shift this market before Aug 27, 2026. Major announcements from leading EV manufacturers about production scaling or supply chain changes may influence expectations. Broader economic shifts, such as changes in commodity trade policies or global inflation trends, could also affect pricing. Additionally, geopolitical developments impacting mining or transportation routes may cause rapid movements in this market as traders adjust their positions.