TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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EV commodity prices on Aug 13, 2026
kalshi

EV commodity prices on Aug 13, 2026

Volume:
$55,533

Above 1228.50

 - Kalshi

Above 1228.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 11:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1228.50

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,717
N/A
N/A
$3,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1168.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,531
N/A
N/A
$6,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1188.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,492
N/A
N/A
$3,456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1178.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,324
N/A
N/A
$3,272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1198.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,127
N/A
N/A
$2,065
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1218.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,172
N/A
N/A
$811
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1208.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$608
N/A
N/A
$554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1308.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,631
N/A
N/A
$4,631
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1288.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,628
N/A
N/A
$4,628
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1298.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,625
N/A
N/A
$4,625
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1278.50

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,588
N/A
N/A
$4,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1268.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,515
N/A
N/A
$4,515
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1238.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,227
N/A
N/A
$1,631
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1248.50

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,143
N/A
N/A
$1,806
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1258.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures the aggregated price changes of raw materials critical to electric vehicle manufacturing, reflecting supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical influences on commodity markets. Tracking this index helps gauge cost pressures faced by automakers and potential ripple effects across consumer pricing. On August 13, 2026, various thresholds of this index will determine market outcomes based on whether prices surpass specific levels.

Kalshi

This event consists of fifteen separate markets, each tied to a distinct threshold value of the Truflation EV Commodity Index as recorded on August 13, 2026. For each market, the outcome is determined solely by whether the published index value exceeds its assigned threshold. If the index ends the day above the specified level, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, and each threshold is evaluated against the same index value at the same time. No additional calculations, adjustments, or external data influence these resolutions beyond the published index value and the listed thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the EV commodity price market, along with 24-hour volume of $27,610. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of the Truflation EV Commodity Index being above 1168.50 on August 13, 2026. The page updates in real time to reflect the latest market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event on Kalshi alone.

While analyst forecasts may offer predictions based on economic models and historical trends, this market provides a real-time aggregate of trader sentiment. On Kalshi, the odds reflect what participants are willing to pay now, which can diverge from traditional forecasts due to new information, market sentiment, or speculative positioning. Comparing the two can highlight areas of consensus or disagreement among experts and traders, helping to gauge market confidence or skepticism about future EV commodity price directions.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to authoritative sources that track the relevant index value for confirmation of whether the condition is met, closing the market definitively at that point.

Several signals could influence this market before Aug 21, 2026. Key factors include shifts in global EV manufacturing demand, changes in commodity supply chains, geopolitical events affecting raw material exports, and major policy announcements related to clean energy incentives or tariffs. Unexpected macroeconomic developments, such as inflation spikes or currency fluctuations, may also impact trader expectations. Any significant news that alters the outlook for EV commodity consumption or production could cause rapid price movements in this market as participants reassess their positions.