TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
EV commodity prices on Aug 12, 2026
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What will the EV Commodity Index close at on August 12, 2026?

Volume:
$24,907

Above 1201.95

 - Kalshi

Above 1201.95 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 11:00 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1201.95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,407
N/A
N/A
$1,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1171.95

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,666
N/A
N/A
$1,671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1181.95

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,855
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1191.95

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,450
N/A
N/A
$1,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1211.95

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1231.95

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1221.95

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1301.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1291.95

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,400
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1311.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,400
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1281.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1271.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
$1,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1251.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1261.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$234
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1241.95

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$133
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials critical for electric vehicle production. On August 12, 2026, various thresholds above 1171.95 will determine different market resolutions based on where the index closes that day.

Kalshi

Multiple sequential threshold markets will resolve based on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value on August 12, 2026. Any index value above the specified threshold for a given market will result in a 'Yes' resolution for that market, while values at or below the threshold will resolve 'No'. All markets share the same measurement date and source, with no additional conditions beyond the index crossing the defined numerical barriers.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $16,644 for the EV commodity price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the August 2026 settlement date, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity for this specific economic indicator.

Currently, this market reflects a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean on historical trends and macroeconomic models, traders are pricing in real-time information, sentiment shifts, and expectations about future policy changes. This divergence can highlight areas where market participants see risks or opportunities that aren’t fully captured in conventional reports.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major policy announcements related to EV incentives, unexpected disruptions in global commodity supply chains, and shifts in consumer demand driven by new technologies or economic conditions. Each of these factors can cause rapid reassessments among traders, leading to noticeable changes in odds and volume as the August 2026 deadline approaches.