TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Economics
EV commodity prices on Aug 11, 2026
kalshi

What will the EV commodity prices be on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$54,134

Above 1218.83

 - Kalshi

Above 1218.83 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 11:04 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1218.83

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,123
N/A
N/A
$6,095
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1188.83

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,167
N/A
N/A
$3,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1168.83

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,017
N/A
N/A
$1,751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1208.83

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,451
N/A
N/A
$3,633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1198.83

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,702
N/A
N/A
$3,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1228.83

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,561
N/A
N/A
$2,667
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1178.83

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,901
N/A
N/A
$1,451
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1288.83

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,051
N/A
N/A
$3,911
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1248.83

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,732
N/A
N/A
$3,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1238.83

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,404
N/A
N/A
$3,069
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1308.83

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
$2,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1298.83

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,650
N/A
N/A
$2,650
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1278.83

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,598
N/A
N/A
$2,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1268.83

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,811
N/A
N/A
$1,343
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1258.83

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of raw materials critical for electric vehicles, reflecting supply and demand dynamics in the automotive industry. On August 11, 2026, various thresholds of this index will determine different market outcomes based on whether the index exceeds specific values.

Kalshi

Multiple markets resolve based on whether the Truflation EV Commodity Index exceeds specified thresholds on August 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, resolving to Yes if the index surpasses that threshold and No otherwise. All markets share the same date and index source, with no additional conditions affecting resolution beyond the index value relative to each threshold.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the EV commodity price market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $37,911. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around future price movements in key materials used for electric vehicles, giving you a live snapshot of market expectations and liquidity through $54,134 in total volume.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced view of where experts and traders think EV commodity prices will land. While analysts may publish target prices or trends based on models, this market reflects the aggregated bets of participants who stand to gain or lose based on actual outcomes, often reacting faster to new data or sentiment shifts.

This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual commodity price levels at the specified date, closing all positions based on objective, publicly available data sources that both traders and the platform accept as authoritative for this event.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including supply chain disruptions, new mining discoveries, changes in EV manufacturing demand, policy announcements affecting subsidies or tariffs, and broader macroeconomic trends impacting commodity markets. Each of these can cause rapid reassessments among traders, moving odds toward the outcomes that best reflect the latest expectations for price direction.