TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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EV commodity prices on Aug 10, 2026
kalshi

EV commodity prices on Aug 10, 2026

Volume:
$44,669

Above 1197.25

 - Kalshi

Above 1197.25 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 11:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1197.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,079
N/A
N/A
$9,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1187.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,766
N/A
N/A
$4,555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1207.25

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,139
N/A
N/A
$4,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1237.25

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,502
N/A
N/A
$1,994
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1217.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,915
N/A
N/A
$1,914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1227.25

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,907
N/A
N/A
$1,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1167.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
$1,601
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1177.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
$1,319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1247.25

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,618
N/A
N/A
$3,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1297.25

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,602
N/A
N/A
$2,502
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1287.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,784
N/A
N/A
$1,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1307.25

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,651
N/A
N/A
$1,651
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1277.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,566
N/A
N/A
$1,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1267.25

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
$1,236
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1257.25

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$983
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specialized index tracking electric vehicle (EV) related commodities as measured on a specific future date. It provides a snapshot of market expectations regarding the valuation of resources critical to EV production and operation. The outcome depends entirely on the index value at the close of trading on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value as of August 10, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from 1167.25 to 1307.25. If the published index value equals or exceeds a market's specific threshold, that market resolves as 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves as 'No'. All markets share the same measurement source and date, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The resolution is purely factual, determined by the index level at the specified timestamp, with no discretion involved.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $44,337 for the EV commodity price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the August 2026 settlement date, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity levels through $44,669 in cumulative volume.

Currently, this market’s implied probability reflects trader expectations for EV commodity price movements by August 2026. While specific analyst forecasts aren’t directly embedded, the odds often align closely with consensus views from major financial institutions and industry reports. Traders may adjust positions based on new data from these analysts, causing shifts in the market’s price dynamics as Aug 18, 2026 approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual state of EV commodity prices as of that date, drawing from widely accepted sources to ensure transparency and accuracy for all participants.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026: major supply-chain disruptions, policy changes affecting EV battery material production, or shifts in global demand due to new technology releases. Additionally, quarterly earnings reports from key suppliers and commodity exchange price fluctuations often drive short-term volatility, influencing trader sentiment and positioning in the run-up to resolution.