TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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EURUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

EURUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$74,770

Above 1.155

 - Kalshi

Above 1.155 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1.155

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,551
N/A
N/A
$5,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.161

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,887
N/A
N/A
$2,259
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.153

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,689
N/A
N/A
$3,744
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.145

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,011
N/A
N/A
$4,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.139

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,240
N/A
N/A
$1,228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.151

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,093
N/A
N/A
$1,755
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.147

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,034
N/A
N/A
$2,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.159

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,009
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.157

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,873
N/A
N/A
$2,199
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.149

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,683
N/A
N/A
$1,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.141

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,704
N/A
N/A
$1,657
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.143

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,233
N/A
N/A
$1,233
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.169

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,925
N/A
N/A
$6,165
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.175

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,400
N/A
N/A
$4,750
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.167

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,388
N/A
N/A
$2,229
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.163

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,158
N/A
N/A
$2,112
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.165

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,192
N/A
N/A
$1,990
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.171

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,652
N/A
N/A
$2,251
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.177

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.173

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,249
N/A
N/A
$1,249
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

The event tracks the performance of the EURUSD currency pair at a specific future moment, determining whether its opening value surpasses various thresholds. This allows participants to assess potential movements in the exchange rate based on economic indicators and market sentiment ahead of the date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the EURUSD exchange rate's opening value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a distinct threshold; if the rate is above the specified level (e.g., 1.139, 1.141, etc.), the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the odds in this market reflect the collective trader sentiment about where the EURUSD will sit by Sep 4, 2026. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may be based on different models, data sets, or time horizons. Comparing the two offers a unique perspective on market expectations versus expert predictions, helping you gauge consensus and potential risk in the currency pair’s movement.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official closing value at the specified time, removing any ambiguity. Traders should monitor reputable financial news sources as the date approaches to anticipate how real-world data may affect this market's closing price.

Key signals that could shift this market include major economic announcements, central bank decisions, geopolitical developments, and shifts in risk sentiment. Data releases such as employment figures, inflation reports, or interest rate updates often drive rapid re-pricing. Additionally, market volatility spikes or currency intervention by governments may cause abrupt movements. Traders will watch these catalysts closely as Sep 4, 2026 approaches.