TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of the EURUSD currency pair at a specific moment, determining whether its value exceeds various predetermined thresholds. Each market evaluates a different threshold, offering insights into potential movements in the exchange rate.
All markets resolve based on the EURUSD exchange rate's opening value at 5pm ET on August 7, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a specific threshold; if the rate is above that threshold at the specified time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at exactly 5pm ET, the most recent available value before that time will be used. Any revisions to the exchange rate after the expiration time will not affect the resolution.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro models and fundamental data, traders in this market price in real-time sentiment, news flow, and short-term technical factors, which can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final EURUSD price at the specified time will be compared against the market’s settled levels to determine the winning direction.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves on Aug 7, 2026. Key economic indicators such as interest rate decisions from major central banks, especially the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve, often shift currency expectations. Geopolitical developments, trade data releases, and shifts in oil prices can also impact EURUSD valuations. Additionally, market sentiment driven by global risk appetite or risk-off behavior may cause fluctuations. Traders will watch these events closely, as each release has the potential to reshape expectations and move this market significantly.