TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

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$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
polymarket

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Volume:
$25,735

Prosperity

 - Polymarket

Prosperity - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 4:51 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Prosperity

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

EZEMA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

GPDP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NaMA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

TPLF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party R

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party U

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party V

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party W

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party X

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party Y

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party Z

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks which political party will secure the most seats in Ethiopia's parliamentary election. On Polymarket, the Prosperity Party is priced at 96.4%, while the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) stands at 1.7%. Resolution will be determined by the official results from the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) as reported on nebe.org.et/en. Watch the June 1, 2026 general election date for the outcome, with final resolution required by December 31, 2026.

Polymarket

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).

Frequently asked questions

The Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the 2026 Ethiopian parliamentary election outcome. It displays the current probability that the Prosperity Party will secure the most seats, along with historical price movements and market depth. The dashboard aggregates $25,735 in total group volume, with $8,742 traded in the last 24 hours, giving traders visibility into both long-term sentiment and recent market momentum around this critical African political event.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional polling due to market incentives and real-money stakes. While polls measure stated voter preferences at a single point in time, prediction markets incorporate evolving information, expert analysis, and economic signals. For the 2026 Ethiopian parliamentary race, market participants are pricing in factors such as political dynamics, institutional stability, and regional developments that may not be fully captured in conventional surveys, making the two sources complementary rather than directly comparable.

The Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, following the conclusion of the 2026 Ethiopian general election. Resolution is determined by the official parliamentary election results, specifically which party secures the largest number of seats in the House of Peoples' Representatives. Market participants should monitor official announcements from Ethiopia's National Electoral Board and international observer reports to track the path toward resolution and adjust their positions accordingly as election day approaches.

Key catalysts for market movement include major policy announcements from the Prosperity Party or opposition coalitions, changes in regional stability or security conditions, shifts in international relations affecting domestic politics, and emerging polling data or electoral surveys. Leadership statements, party primary outcomes, and economic developments could reshape trader expectations about parliamentary seat distribution. Additionally, pre-election violence, institutional reforms, or unexpected political alliances may trigger significant repricing as the June 2026 election approaches and new information becomes available to market participants.