TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down on June 4 market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective belief of active traders on that venue. Share prices range from near zero to one dollar, with the sum of both outcomes equaling one dollar. As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction in that outcome. You can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 4, 2026, with your profit or loss determined by the final resolution price relative to your entry point.
The Ethereum Up or Down on June 4 market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement according to the market's predefined criteria. Resolution occurs automatically once the settlement data is finalized. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact price reference point and measurement window are specified in the market terms. After resolution, no further trading is possible on this event.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's price direction by June 4. Regulatory announcements, major protocol upgrades, or shifts in broader cryptocurrency market sentiment can trigger sharp moves. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy signals, and traditional finance flows into crypto also matter. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale transactions, and staking changes provide real-time signals. Technical levels and support or resistance zones guide short-term traders. Major news about competing blockchains or Ethereum-specific developments can shift sentiment rapidly. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate which way the market may lean as the resolution date approaches.