TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst consensus. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates forward-looking bets on a specific date outcome. The odds here can signal whether the crowd expects upward momentum, downward pressure, or consolidation—offering a distinct lens from traditional price charts or sentiment surveys.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement on that specific date—whether it closes above or below its opening level. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin price action, network upgrades, and institutional adoption news. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can trigger algorithmic trading. Broader crypto sentiment, central bank policy, and geopolitical developments also influence Ethereum's directional bias. Real-time monitoring of on-chain metrics, derivatives positioning, and social sentiment can help traders anticipate shifts in this market before they materialize.