TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?
predict
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?

Volume:
$121,045

Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on June 28? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down on June 27?

N/A
N/A
—
$1,931
$28,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

These markets track whether Ethereum's price (ETH/USDT on Binance) moves up or down on specific dates, comparing the noon ET closing price from one day to the noon ET closing price of the next day. The group contains two related but distinct markets: one comparing June 26 to June 27, and another comparing June 27 to June 28.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The event group title references June 28, but the Predict platform market measures June 26-27 price movement while Polymarket measures June 27-28 price movement. This creates a scope mismatch where the two platforms are resolving based on different underlying date ranges.Hero tip: Confirm which date comparison you intend to trade. Predict's market settles on June 27 noon ET data, while Polymarket settles on June 28 noon ET data. These will likely produce different outcomes due to the one-day offset.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolves Up if Jun 26 12:00 ET close is lower than Jun 27 12:00 ET close; Down if higher. Resolves 50-50 if prices are equal. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the Close price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final Close price for the Jun 27 '26 12:00 ET candle.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves Up if Jun 27 12:00 ET close is lower than Jun 28 12:00 ET close; Down if higher. Resolves 50-50 if prices are equal. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the Close price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final Close price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and Bitcoin price movements—which often drag altcoins along. Staking rate changes, layer-2 adoption milestones, or large exchange inflows or outflows can also shift sentiment. Technical levels and options expiry dates may trigger volatility spikes. Real-time monitoring of on-chain metrics, developer activity, and broader market sentiment helps traders anticipate directional moves. Unexpected news—security incidents, institutional adoption, or policy shifts—can rapidly reprrice this market in either direction.