TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to risk on a specific outcome, often diverging from casual spot price forecasts because real money is at stake. On this market, the odds represent a consensus view among participants who have studied technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and macro conditions. Unlike informal polls or analyst sentiment, prediction markets penalize incorrect predictions, creating stronger incentive alignment. The odds you see here embed the collective judgment of traders betting their capital, making them a useful benchmark against your own conviction about Ethereum's price direction through June 22.
On Predict, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that Ethereum will move up or down by the resolution date. As traders place bids and offers, the odds adjust in real time. Liquidity providers and active traders continuously update prices based on new information, news flow, and their own forecasts, ensuring the market stays responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Ethereum's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether the spot price has moved up or down relative to the reference level established at market creation. Once the event date arrives and sufficient time has passed for price data to settle, the platform will finalize the result and distribute winnings to traders who backed the correct outcome. Traders should monitor the countdown and any official announcements as the resolution date approaches.
Major catalysts that could shift odds include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or regulatory news. Large institutional trades or whale transactions can also trigger sudden repricing. Broader crypto sentiment, Bitcoin movements, and traditional market volatility often correlate with Ethereum price action. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may attract algorithmic traders, while social media trends and on-chain activity can influence retail participation. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate how this market might evolve before the June 22 resolution date.