TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA

Science and Technology

Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?

predict

polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?

Volume:

$122,462

Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?

- Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$83,003

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

Yes

predict

Ethereum Up or Down on July 7?

N/A

N/A

—

N/A

$39,460

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

Total markets: 2

Description

These markets track whether Ethereum's price (ETH/USDT on Binance) moves up or down on specific dates by comparing the noon ET closing price from the previous day to the noon ET closing price on the target date. The group contains two separate markets: one tracking July 7 (on the predict platform) and one tracking July 9 (on the polymarket platform).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The event group title specifies July 9, but the predict platform market resolves on July 7 using a July 6-to-July 7 comparison window, while polymarket correctly resolves on July 9 using a July 8-to-July 9 comparison window. This is a scope and timing mismatch.Hero tip: Verify the intended scope of this event group. If the group should track only July 9, remove or correct the predict platform market. If both dates are intentional, rename the group to reflect multiple dates or split into separate groups. Traders should not assume cross-platform correlation.

Critical divergence points:

predict: Market titled 'Ethereum Up or Down on July 7?' resolves by comparing Binance ETH/USDT close prices at July 6 12:00 ET (baseline) versus July 7 12:00 ET (target). Resolves 'Up' if July 6 price is lower than July 7 price. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the Close price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 6 26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final Close price for the Jul 7 26 12:00 ET candle.'
polymarket: Market titled 'Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?' resolves by comparing Binance ETH/USDT close prices at July 8 12:00 ET (baseline) versus July 9 12:00 ET (target). Resolves 'Up' if July 8 price is lower than July 9 price. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the Close price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 8 26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final Close price for the Jul 9 26 12:00 ET candle.'

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price movement market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Predict, offering a unified view of how the crypto community expects ETH to move on July 9. This dashboard consolidates volume and odds from both platforms, letting you see consensus at a glance. Polymarket currently shows activity of $122,462, while cross-platform depth reveals where the smart money is positioning. By tracking the same event across multiple venues, you gain insight into whether conviction is concentrated or split, and spot arbitrage opportunities when prices diverge between exchanges.

Macro catalysts—Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data, or risk-off sentiment—often drive crypto broadly and can swing this market sharply. Ethereum-specific news, such as network upgrades, major exchange listings, or regulatory announcements, carries direct impact. Bitcoin moves frequently drag altcoins along, so watch BTC closely. Stablecoin stress, DeFi hacks, or large whale transactions can trigger sudden repricing. Technical levels and options expiry on other platforms may create momentum. Real-time volume spikes on this market itself signal new conviction entering, often preceding directional moves.