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Ethereum Up or Down on July 5?
polymarket
predict

Ethereum Up or Down on July 5?

Volume:
$78,708

Ethereum Up or Down on July 5?

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2 markets

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Positive

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Neutral

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·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down on July 5?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down on July 5?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$264
$31,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance ETH/USDT will be higher or lower on July 5, 2026 at noon ET compared to July 4, 2026 at noon ET. Resolution depends on comparing the closing prices of two specific 1-minute candles on Binance, with a 50-50 split if prices are exactly equal.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, data source, and edge case handling with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-minute candles, close prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Core resolution logic:

  • Obtain the close price from the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle for July 4, 2026 at 12:00 noon ET
  • Obtain the close price from the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle for July 5, 2026 at 12:00 noon ET
  • If July 4 close is lower than July 5 close, resolve to Up
  • If July 4 close is higher than July 5 close, resolve to Down
  • If both close prices are exactly equal, resolve 50-50 split

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Price Equality: If the close prices for both candles are exactly equal on Binance, the market resolves as a 50-50 split between Up and Down outcomes.
  • Data Source Exclusivity: Resolution uses only Binance ETH/USDT pair data. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs (e.g., other DEXs, spot markets, or derivatives) are explicitly excluded.
  • Candle Specification: Resolution requires the 1-minute candle close prices specifically, not any other timeframe or price point (open, high, low, or volume-weighted average).
  • Timezone Precision: Both reference times must be interpreted as 12:00 noon ET (Eastern Time). Daylight saving time rules applicable to ET on those dates must be applied.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of the 1-minute candle ending at July 5, 2026 12:00 noon ET, using historical candle data from Binance.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.