TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
Ethereum Up or Down on July 3?
predict

Ethereum Up or Down on July 3?

Volume:
$34,119

Ethereum Up or Down on July 3?

 - Predict

Ethereum Up or Down on July 3? - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Ethereum Up or Down on July 3?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,327
$34,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price movement market dashboard on Predict tracks real-time odds and historical price data for the Ethereum price movement market, allowing traders to monitor whether ETH will close higher or lower on July 3. The interface displays current implied probabilities, recent trading activity, and 24-hour volume of $33,560 to help participants assess market sentiment. This live feed lets you follow how consensus shifts as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions ahead of the resolution date.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot price expectations are based on current market conditions and technical analysis. This market aggregates the views of many participants betting real capital, which often incorporates forward-looking sentiment that spot prices alone may not capture. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than conventional indicators suggest.

This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Ethereum's price closes above or below its opening level on that date. Once the market closes, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions are settled according to the final result.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price movements, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or staking changes. Market-wide sentiment shifts driven by central bank policy, inflation reports, or geopolitical events can also sway this market significantly. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and large whale trades may trigger sharp repricing, so monitoring both on-chain metrics and broader financial news is essential for anticipating swings.