TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Ethereum's directional move by May 31, 2026, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets price Ethereum's immediate value, prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment and tail-risk hedging. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in macro catalysts, regulatory shifts, or network upgrades that spot traders haven't fully priced in yet. This divergence often signals where informed traders see opportunity.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome—up or down—trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell these shares, and the price of each reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. At any moment, the up-price plus the down-price should sum to approximately one dollar. Liquidity, order flow, and recent news drive intraday price swings. You can enter or exit your position at any time before May 31, 2026, locking in gains or cutting losses based on your conviction.
The Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET market resolves at May 31, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified time against a reference baseline. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution is final once the market settles, and any remaining positions are automatically closed. Ensure you understand the exact reference price and time zone before the deadline to avoid surprises.
Major catalysts for Ethereum's direction by May 31, 2026 include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data (inflation, interest rates), Bitcoin price action, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or staking changes. Geopolitical shocks, central bank policy shifts, and large on-chain transactions can also trigger sharp moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create support or resistance. Monitor crypto news outlets, on-chain analytics, and macro calendars closely. Sudden volatility spikes or whale accumulation patterns often precede directional breakouts, giving traders early warning signs to adjust their positions.