TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's direction by May 31, 3AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and sentiment over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders expect a reversal, continuation, or consolidation. These differences highlight how prediction markets price tail risk and uncertainty differently than traditional technical analysis.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: Ethereum up or Ethereum down at the specified time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the contract price reflecting the probability of each result. The current odds on Polymarket show market participants' collective assessment of directional movement. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at the displayed price.
The Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified moment against a reference level. The binary structure means one outcome will be confirmed and the other invalidated. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria are established at market creation and enforced by Polymarket's settlement process.
Ethereum's price direction through May 31, 3AM ET could be influenced by major regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin momentum shifts, or Ethereum-specific protocol upgrades. Market-wide risk sentiment, central bank policy signals, and large institutional flows often drive crypto directional moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows or whale activity may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also create volatility clusters. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders assess whether current odds on Polymarket fairly price the directional risk.