TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's direction by May 31, 2026, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and tail-risk hedging. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and spot technicals often signal trading opportunities or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell pressure; as traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts to equilibrate supply and demand. Liquidity pools and order books determine how quickly prices move in response to new information. Traders profit by correctly predicting which direction Ethereum moves relative to the market consensus embedded in the current price.
The Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified moment against a reference baseline. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once the market settles, and funds are distributed to winning positions. Mark your calendar to ensure you close or manage your position before the deadline.
Ethereum's direction by May 31, 2026 could be influenced by major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, or Bitcoin price movements. Staking yield changes, layer-2 adoption metrics, and developer activity also shape sentiment. Large liquidations or whale transactions can trigger short-term volatility. Market-wide events such as Federal Reserve policy decisions or geopolitical developments may drive broader crypto correlation. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer commits, and news flow helps traders anticipate moves before they're priced in.