TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET

Volume:
$5,384

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET - Polymarket

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Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional move by May 30, 7PM ET, which may diverge from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot prices reflect real-time supply and demand for Ethereum itself, prediction market odds isolate expectations about price direction within a defined window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst sentiment or historical volatility patterns can reveal whether traders are pricing in elevated risk or unusual conviction. The market odds incorporate all available information traders believe relevant to that specific outcome, offering a probabilistic view distinct from passive spot price observation.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the cumulative bets of all Polymarket participants; as traders buy "Up" or "Down" shares, prices adjust in real time. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so larger trades face increasing slippage. The price discovery process incorporates Ethereum volatility expectations, macroeconomic sentiment, and on-chain activity leading into May 30. Liquidity depth and order flow on Polymarket determine how efficiently new information gets reflected in the odds.

Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction before May 30, 7PM ET. Regulatory announcements, major protocol upgrades, or shifts in macroeconomic policy could trigger volatility. Bitcoin price action often influences Ethereum, so broader crypto market sentiment matters. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, staking changes, or large whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Ethereum-specific news—developer activity, network security events, or DeFi ecosystem developments—can move sentiment. Broader equity market performance, inflation data, and central bank communications also indirectly affect risk appetite for crypto assets. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their directional bets on Polymarket.