TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET

Volume:
$8,755

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 5:00 PM EST

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 4PM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome depending on whether the closing price meets or exceeds the opening price for that specific hourly candle on May 30 at 4PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about Ethereum's direction by May 30, 4PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Divergences between prediction odds and spot expectations often signal where informed traders see value or risk.

On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. Traders profit by buying undervalued outcomes or selling overvalued ones before the May 30, 4PM ET snapshot. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily positions can be entered or exited, with tighter spreads indicating deeper market depth.

The Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET market resolves on May 30, 2026. At that time, the market will determine whether Ethereum's price moved up or down relative to the snapshot baseline. The resolution captures the directional outcome at the specified time and date, settling all open positions accordingly. Traders should monitor the countdown to ensure they close or adjust positions before the final resolution window closes. After resolution, winning outcomes are paid out and the market is archived.

Ethereum's direction by May 30, 4PM ET could be influenced by major regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price movements, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or staking changes. Geopolitical events and shifts in risk sentiment across crypto markets often drive broad directional moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also trigger volatility. On-chain metrics like whale transactions and exchange inflows may signal accumulation or distribution. Traders monitoring these catalysts can adjust their positions dynamically as new information emerges before the resolution deadline.