TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$6,095

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$6,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this crypto event contract. It displays the current probability that Ethereum will trade up or down during the specified four-hour window on May 30. The dashboard logs 24-hour trading volume, order flow, and outcome pricing to help traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity. You can view how odds have shifted over time and compare current prices to earlier snapshots, giving you visibility into whether the market is growing more bullish or bearish on Ethereum's intraday direction.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional move during that specific four-hour window, whereas spot price expectations from traditional analysts and on-chain metrics focus on longer-term or continuous price trends. The prediction market isolates a discrete time window and binary outcome, making it more precise than general price forecasts. Comparing the market's implied probability to analyst sentiment or technical analysis can reveal whether traders are pricing in event-driven volatility, macro catalysts, or mean reversion differently than traditional market participants expect.

On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome with two sides: one reflecting the probability Ethereum moves up during the window, and the other reflecting the probability it moves down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices are determined by order book depth and trader activity, with each outcome trading as a separate contract. The current odds reflect accumulated bets from market participants and update continuously as new orders flow in. Liquidity and spreads vary throughout the event window, affecting how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given time.

Several catalysts could drive Ethereum's direction during that May 30 window: major crypto regulatory announcements, Federal Reserve or central bank policy signals, Bitcoin price swings, Ethereum network upgrades or security news, and macroeconomic data releases. Institutional inflows or outflows, derivative market positioning, and staking or DeFi protocol developments can also trigger volatility. Geopolitical events, traditional market stress, or shifts in risk appetite may push traders toward or away from crypto. Monitoring on-chain metrics, futures open interest, and social sentiment in the days leading up to the window can help you anticipate directional bias.