TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET

Volume:
$9,872

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$9,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour trading window beginning at 1PM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT hourly candle on Binance, with the outcome decided by whether the closing price meets or exceeds the opening price for that specific hour. Watch the market closely as May 30 at 1PM ET approaches, as this is the exact moment the one-hour candle opens and begins establishing the price levels that will determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about Ethereum's price direction by May 30, 2026, often diverging from current spot prices on exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional sentiment over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Discrepancies between prediction odds and spot price momentum may signal trading opportunities.

Key catalysts for Ethereum's price direction include major network upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin price movements. Staking yield changes, layer-2 adoption metrics, and institutional inflows can also influence sentiment. On-chain activity, developer activity, and competing blockchain developments may sway trader expectations. Market-wide volatility spikes, Federal Reserve policy signals, and geopolitical events can trigger rapid repricing. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate directional shifts before May 30, 2026.