TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the start of the May 30, 12:00PM ET window to its price at 4:00PM ET that same day. The outcome depends on whether the closing price is higher or lower than the opening price during this four-hour period. Official price feeds and market data are used to establish the reference points for settlement.
Key catalysts include macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, and crypto-specific news such as regulatory developments or major protocol upgrades. Bitcoin price movements often drive Ethereum sentiment, as do changes in DeFi lending rates and staking yields. On-chain metrics like whale transactions and exchange inflows can signal trader positioning. Market-wide risk sentiment, equity futures performance, and geopolitical events may also influence Ethereum's direction during the trading window. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate shifts in prediction market odds.