TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective belief of Polymarket participants about which direction Ethereum will move by the May 30, 11PM ET deadline. Prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with the spread between up and down outcomes indicating market uncertainty. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions without significant slippage.
The Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified time against a reference baseline to establish whether the outcome is up or down. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect predictions result in a loss. The exact settlement methodology and data source are specified in the market's terms, ensuring transparent and objective resolution independent of trader disputes.
Key catalysts for Ethereum price direction include major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic data releases, and Bitcoin price movements. Staking yield changes, Ethereum Foundation communications, and shifts in institutional adoption can also drive volatility. Market-wide events such as Federal Reserve policy decisions, geopolitical tensions, or competing blockchain developments may influence trader sentiment. Technical support and resistance levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidation cascades can trigger sharp moves. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and sentiment indicators helps traders anticipate directional shifts before May 30, 11PM ET.