TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 9PM ET on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT price action on Binance, with the market settling based on whether the closing price meets or exceeds the opening price for that specific hourly candle on May 29 at 9PM ET.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective belief of market participants about which direction Ethereum will move by the resolution time. Prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the outcome at resolution.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's direction by May 29, 9PM ET. Regulatory announcements, major network upgrades, macroeconomic shifts, or Bitcoin price movements often drive Ethereum volatility. On-chain metrics like staking activity and whale transactions may signal institutional sentiment. Broader crypto market sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and traditional finance correlation events can also impact price direction. Traders should monitor news, technical levels, and derivatives markets for clues about which outcome the market is pricing in as the event date approaches.