TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET

Volume:
$10,754

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,754
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 3PM ET on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT price action on Binance for the specified hourly candle. Watch the market closely as May 29 at 3PM ET approaches, as this is the exact moment the resolution candle opens and price discovery begins.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional move by May 29, 3PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets price Ethereum continuously based on supply and demand, prediction markets isolate a specific binary outcome at a fixed time. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders expect a reversal, continuation, or consolidation. The gap between market-implied probability and external forecasts often signals where informed traders see value.

On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down move, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market probability reflects the collective bets of all participants. Liquidity pools or order books determine how much slippage you encounter when entering or exiting a position. As the May 29 deadline approaches, prices typically tighten around the most likely outcome.

Ethereum's price direction by May 29, 3PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major crypto regulatory news. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions, staking changes, or network upgrades may also shift trader sentiment. Bitcoin's performance often correlates strongly with Ethereum, so BTC momentum is a key watch. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidation cascades can trigger sharp moves. Market-wide risk-off events or positive developments in decentralized finance adoption could accelerate either direction heading into the deadline.