TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 3PM ET on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT price action on Binance for the specified hourly candle. Watch the market closely as May 29 at 3PM ET approaches, as this is the exact moment the resolution candle opens and price discovery begins.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down move, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market probability reflects the collective bets of all participants. Liquidity pools or order books determine how much slippage you encounter when entering or exiting a position. As the May 29 deadline approaches, prices typically tighten around the most likely outcome.
Ethereum's price direction by May 29, 3PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major crypto regulatory news. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions, staking changes, or network upgrades may also shift trader sentiment. Bitcoin's performance often correlates strongly with Ethereum, so BTC momentum is a key watch. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidation cascades can trigger sharp moves. Market-wide risk-off events or positive developments in decentralized finance adoption could accelerate either direction heading into the deadline.