TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 1AM ET on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT price action on Binance for the specified hourly candle. Watch the market closely as May 29, 1AM ET approaches, as this is the exact timestamp when the one-hour candle opens and begins establishing the reference prices for resolution.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Ethereum's directional move by May 29, 1AM ET, and often diverge from spot price momentum alone. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment, technical levels, and macro catalysts. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or contrarian views. Discrepancies may signal opportunities if one signal appears mispriced relative to the other.
The Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET market resolves on May 29, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified resolution timestamp against the reference level established at market creation. The binary structure means one outcome will be deemed correct and the other incorrect. All winning positions are paid out in full, and losing positions expire worthless.
Ethereum's price direction by May 29, 1AM ET could be influenced by major regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin volatility, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, and shifts in institutional or retail sentiment. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading. Broader crypto market sentiment, stablecoin flows, and derivative liquidation cascades can amplify moves. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, funding rates, and social sentiment to anticipate directional shifts before resolution.