TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Volume:
$7,718

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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24h
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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
6.1¢
N/A
$7,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will be higher at the end of a specific four-hour window on May 29 compared to its price at the start of that period. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 52.5%. Resolution will be determined using Chainlink's ETH-USD price feed, which provides the official reference rates for the opening and closing prices during the 12:00AM-4:00AM ET timeframe on May 29, 2026. Watch the market closely as the May 29 resolution window approaches, as intraday volatility during those early morning hours could significantly influence the final settlement.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's direction during that specific 4-hour window, whereas spot price expectations are based on technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and broader market sentiment. Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets, making them forward-looking indicators of crowd belief. Spot price expectations from analysts and charting platforms may diverge from market odds if traders see asymmetric risk or if macro catalysts are priced differently. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction market participants are more or less bullish than traditional technical or fundamental analysis suggests for that May 29 timeframe.

Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's direction during that 4-hour window. Regulatory announcements, major exchange listings, or shifts in Bitcoin momentum often trigger Ethereum volatility. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or broader risk-on/risk-off sentiment can drive crypto markets. On-chain activity spikes, large whale transactions, or technical breakouts near key support and resistance levels may accelerate moves. Market-specific events such as Ethereum network upgrades, DeFi protocol news, or institutional inflows could also matter. Traders should monitor crypto news, social sentiment, and technical levels closely as the May 29 window approaches.