TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET

Volume:
$8,540

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 29, 11:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 10PM ET on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ETH/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome decided by whether the closing price meets or exceeds the opening price for that specific hourly candle on May 29 at 10PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional movement by May 29, 10PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and risk premiums. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders expect a reversal, continuation, or consolidation. The market's probability assessment often diverges from simple technical analysis, offering a crowd-sourced alternative view.

The market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by Ethereum's price direction at the specified snapshot time of May 29, 10PM ET. The outcome hinges on whether the price has moved up or down from a reference level established at market creation. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and data source used by Polymarket to ensure clarity on how the final determination will be made.

Key catalysts include Bitcoin price action, Federal Reserve policy announcements, and Ethereum network developments such as upgrades or security incidents. Macroeconomic data releases, regulatory news, and shifts in risk sentiment can trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also influence volatility. Traders should monitor news feeds, on-chain dashboards, and macro calendars to anticipate momentum shifts before the May 29 deadline.