TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's direction by May 28, 2026, which often diverges from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment and longer-term positioning. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of the May 28 snapshot. This gap between prediction odds and spot expectations highlights the unique value of probabilistic pricing for directional bets.
The Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET market resolves at May 28, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the snapshot time against a reference baseline. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the snapshot is recorded. Participants should monitor the countdown to May 28, 2026 and ensure positions are settled before the market closes.
Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction before May 28, 2026. Macro events such as Federal Reserve policy announcements, Bitcoin volatility, or major regulatory news often trigger broad crypto moves. Ethereum-specific developments including protocol upgrades, staking yield changes, or large exchange inflows can drive directional conviction. Market sentiment shifts tied to DeFi activity, NFT trends, or institutional adoption also influence short-term price action. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, funding rates, and news flow to anticipate momentum changes that could determine whether Ethereum closes up or down at the May 28 snapshot.