TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$42,150

$2,030 or above

 - Kalshi

$2,030 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$2,030 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,410
N/A
N/A
$3,426
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,950 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,849
N/A
N/A
$3,849
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,990 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,910 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,590 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,790 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,430 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,550 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,350 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,470 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,830 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,390 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,510 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,630 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,870 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,070 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,819
N/A
N/A
$3,394
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,150 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,440
N/A
N/A
$6,906
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,110 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,737
N/A
N/A
$3,219
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,190 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,724
N/A
N/A
$1,357
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,230 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033
N/A
N/A
$494
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,270 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,910 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different resolution sources, time windows, and measurement methodologies. Polymarket resolves based on Chainlink ETH/USD price comparison over a 4-hour window (4:00PM-8:00PM ET on March 22), while Kalshi resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) at a single point in time (5:00PM EDT on March 22, 2026) against 38 different price thresholds. The platforms measure different indices, use different timing, and produce incompatible outcomes.Hero tip: These markets are NOT equivalent bets. On Polymarket, you are betting whether ETH price goes up or down over a 4-hour window using Chainlink data. On Kalshi, you are betting whether ERTI exceeds one of 38 specific price levels at exactly 5:00PM EDT. A price movement that resolves YES on one platform may resolve NO on the other due to source differences and timing misalignment. Do not assume cross-platform arbitrage.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves based on Chainlink ETH/USD price comparison—YES if price at 8:00PM ET is greater than or equal to price at 4:00PM ET on March 22. Uses a 4-hour price window and a single authoritative source: 'the resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) at 5:00PM EDT on March 22, 2026, measured as the simple average of 60 seconds of ERTI data prior to that time. Contains 38 separate binary markets, each with a different price threshold (ranging from 1349.99 to 2909.99). All resolve YES if ERTI exceeds their respective threshold: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.