TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Ethereum's direction by June 7, 3PM ET, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking views and incentivize accuracy through real financial stakes. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst consensus or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader crypto community expectations. This divergence often highlights unique insights embedded in prediction market pricing.
On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger market conviction toward that outcome. You can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, with your profit or loss determined by the final settlement price.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Traders who held the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is final once confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly. Ensure you understand the exact price reference point and measurement methodology before trading, as these details govern which outcome is declared correct.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's price direction by June 7, 3PM ET, including major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin price movements, and changes in DeFi activity or staking dynamics. Technical developments like layer-two scaling improvements or security incidents could also drive volatility. Broader crypto market sentiment, institutional adoption news, and correlation with traditional markets may amplify moves. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and network fundamentals as leading indicators. Unexpected geopolitical or financial events can create sudden reversals, making this market sensitive to both crypto-specific and systemic shocks.