TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices in real time. You can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 7, 2026, and your profit or loss depends on the final resolution price relative to your entry price.
Key catalysts include major regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price movements, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, and shifts in institutional or retail sentiment. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, whale transactions, and staking changes can also influence price direction. Broader crypto market sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and geopolitical developments may trigger volatility. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust their positions ahead of the June 7, 3AM ET deadline.