TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down outcome for Ethereum during the June 6 window. The current odds reflect the collective trading activity and belief of Polymarket participants. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, with the probability displayed as a percentage. Traders profit if their chosen outcome occurs; the market resolves based on verified price data at the specified time window, and payouts are distributed accordingly to winning share holders.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution occurs after the four-hour trading window closes at 12:00PM ET on June 6. The outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the start of the window (8:00AM ET) to its price at the end (12:00PM ET). If the price is higher at close, the Up outcome wins; if lower, the Down outcome wins. Verified price data from established sources determines the final result and triggers payout distribution to winning traders.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's direction during this four-hour window. Regulatory announcements, Federal Reserve statements, or major macroeconomic data releases on June 6 morning could trigger volatility. Ethereum-specific news such as network upgrades, staking changes, or large exchange movements may shift sentiment. Bitcoin price action often correlates with Ethereum, so BTC momentum during the window matters. Additionally, options expiry, futures funding rates, or large liquidation cascades could amplify price swings. Traders monitoring these signals ahead of the window opening can better anticipate directional bias and adjust positions accordingly.