TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective bets of Polymarket traders; as money flows into either Up or Down, the price adjusts in real time. Shares in the winning outcome pay out at full value at resolution, while losing shares expire worthless. Polymarket's order book and automated market maker mechanics ensure continuous pricing. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with prices tightening as the resolution date approaches and uncertainty resolves.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET market resolves at Jun 5, 2026. At that moment, the market will settle based on whether Ethereum's price has moved up or down from its reference level at the specified time. Resolution occurs automatically once the outcome is confirmed, and traders holding the winning shares receive their payout. The exact price source and comparison methodology are defined in the market's terms. After resolution, all positions are settled and the market closes to new trading.
Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction by Jun 5, 2026. Macro events include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, or broader risk-on/risk-off sentiment in equities and commodities. Ethereum-specific triggers include major network upgrades, regulatory clarity from the SEC or international bodies, large whale transactions, or shifts in staking yields. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also influence short-term volatility. Sentiment on social media, developer activity, and competing layer-one blockchains may sway trader positioning. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate directional moves and adjust their Polymarket positions accordingly.