TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about Ethereum's direction by June 5, 3AM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term directional conviction. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst sentiment or historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish bias relative to conventional expectations for this timeframe.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET event is priced as two complementary outcomes: one contract for Ethereum moving up and another for it moving down by the deadline. Each outcome's price reflects the probability traders assign to that result. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. Traders buy and sell these contracts based on their directional view, and the market price adjusts continuously with new order flow and volume.
Key catalysts for Ethereum price movement include major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price action, and shifts in institutional or retail sentiment. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can trigger algorithmic trading. Network developments, staking changes, or broader DeFi ecosystem news may also influence trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, derivatives funding rates, and social sentiment can help anticipate directional shifts before the June 5, 3AM ET deadline.