TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET

Volume:
$8,040

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's direction, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot prices react to immediate market conditions, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and tail risks through the Jun 6, 2026 deadline. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst sentiment or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional indicators. Divergence between the two often signals where informed traders see value or risk.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either the up or down outcome. The price of each share reflects the implied probability, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Liquidity and order flow on Polymarket determine how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains. The final settlement price at Jun 6, 2026 will be determined by the resolution criteria specific to this event.

The Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET market resolves at Jun 6, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified time against the reference level. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once the market closes, and any remaining shares are settled according to the outcome. Ensure you understand the exact price source and timing rules before placing your trade.

Ethereum's price direction by June 5, 11PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy signals, and broader crypto market sentiment. Major blockchain upgrades, regulatory announcements, or changes in institutional adoption could shift trader expectations. Bitcoin price movements often correlate strongly with Ethereum, so BTC momentum is a key signal. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale transactions, and staking activity may also reveal conviction among large holders. News about competing Layer 2 solutions or DeFi developments could impact Ethereum's relative performance.