TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's directional move by Jun 4, 2026, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot prices react to immediate market conditions, prediction markets price in longer-term sentiment and event risk over the full forecast window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts that spot traders may not yet have fully discounted.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6AM ET market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at resolution time against a reference baseline established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The exact price source and settlement methodology are specified in the market's terms on Polymarket.
Ethereum's price direction by Jun 4, 2026 could be influenced by macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or shifts in risk appetite that affect crypto broadly. Ethereum-specific catalysts include major network upgrades, regulatory announcements, or large institutional flows. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Additionally, Bitcoin's performance often sets the tone for altcoins; a sharp move in BTC could cascade into Ethereum volatility before the resolution timestamp.