TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either the up or down outcome. The current price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring by Jun 4, 2026. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices near the current market rate.
Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, Bitcoin price movements, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, major regulatory news, and macroeconomic data releases. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows and whale transactions can signal accumulation or distribution. Technical levels and support/resistance zones often trigger algorithmic trading. Sentiment shifts on social media and analyst downgrades or upgrades may also influence short-term price direction ahead of the Jun 4, 2026 resolution deadline.