TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET

Volume:
$16,286

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that Ethereum's price will move up or down by the specified time, updated continuously as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard also shows $8,274 in total volume and $8,274 in 24-hour volume, giving you a snapshot of market depth and recent activity. Use these metrics to gauge trader conviction and liquidity before placing your own prediction.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Ethereum's direction by June 4, 5AM ET, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than traditional analysis because real money is at stake. If the market is pricing Ethereum Up significantly higher than analyst consensus suggests, it may signal contrarian positioning or emerging bullish catalysts. Comparing the two helps identify where professional traders and the broader market diverge on near-term price direction.

Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, Bitcoin price movements, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, and macroeconomic data releases. Regulatory news affecting crypto markets, large exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in institutional sentiment can also drive sharp price swings. On-chain metrics like staking changes and developer activity may influence longer-term conviction. Watch for unexpected geopolitical events or tech sector earnings that ripple into crypto. These signals often move prediction market odds before they fully reflect in spot prices, creating trading opportunities for attentive participants.